Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Zegras 41.5% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Zegras leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 91.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 66.4%
Neutral zone
Zegras 72.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Evans
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Evans
Zegras
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Evans
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
4
Evans
Zegras
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
39.4% (510)
+11.9%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
47.1% (34)
+6.2%
On even strength, Evans has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Zegras is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Evans
Zegras
Home
52.1% (503)
42.3% (272)
Away
47.0% (423)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Evans
Zegras
P1
50.5%
37.6%
P2
47.7%
41.5%
P3
51.3%
40.8%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:54 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:39 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |