Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Zegras 41.3% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 85.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 61.8%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 85.5%
14.5%
85.5%
Evans
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Evans
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
36.5% (156)
+17.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
40.7% (27)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
0.0% (3)
+48.1%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Evans
Zegras
Home
55.1% (541)
38.9% (113)
Away
50.8% (581)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Evans
Zegras
P1
51.8%
40.0%
P2
53.3%
38.1%
P3
53.8%
31.6%
OT
38.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |