Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Zegras 43.3% (+13.8%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 77.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 50.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Evans
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
39.8% (128)
+14.6%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
22.2% (9)
+32.8%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
0.0% (1)
+46.1%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +46.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Zegras is 30.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Evans
Zegras
Home
53.7% (581)
29.7% (74)
Away
50.5% (556)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Evans
Zegras
P1
54.6%
40.7%
P2
50.0%
35.1%
P3
52.3%
41.0%
OT
46.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%