Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Johnson 53.6% (-11.0%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 75.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 75.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 53.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Evans
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
61.9% (42)
-10.6%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
55.6% (9)
-2.3%
On even strength, Johnson has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Johnson is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Evans
Johnson
Home
52.1% (503)
52.0% (25)
Away
47.0% (423)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Evans
Johnson
P1
50.5%
72.0%
P2
47.7%
66.7%
P3
51.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%