Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.3%). Evans wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Johnson 50.7% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 78.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Evans
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
47.4% (78)
+7.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
57.6% (33)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
100.0% (2)
-56.1%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Evans shoots right. Johnson is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Evans
Johnson
Home
49.4% (336)
50.9% (57)
Away
54.8% (314)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Evans
Johnson
P1
55.8%
44.1%
P2
51.7%
59.4%
P3
48.2%
52.3%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%