Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Johnson 51.4% (-10.7%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 74.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Evans
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
63.6% (11)
-9.2%
On even strength, Johnson has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Evans shoots right. Johnson is 100.0% vs right-shot opponents (2).
Home / Away
Evans
Johnson
Home
55.1% (541)
62.5% (8)
Away
50.8% (581)
66.7% (3)
By Period
Evans
Johnson
P2
53.3%
85.7%
P3
53.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
63.6%