Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Johnson 49.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 59.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 91.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 70.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Evans
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Evans
Johnson
Last 5: Evans 5-0 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
49.8% (5,396)
+4.0%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
54.6% (885)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
42.3% (707)
+4.8%
On power play, Evans has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Evans shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Evans
Johnson
Home
53.4% (2,593)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Evans
Johnson
P1
54.0%
50.1%
P2
50.9%
50.6%
P3
52.0%
48.4%
OT
46.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:38 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |