Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Johnson 45.7% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 64.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 95.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 88.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Evans
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Evans
Johnson
Last 5: Evans 5-0 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
44.6% (285)
+9.8%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
46.7% (60)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
16.7% (6)
+29.4%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Johnson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Evans
Johnson
Home
53.7% (581)
50.8% (179)
Away
50.5% (556)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Evans
Johnson
P1
54.6%
41.3%
P2
50.0%
41.8%
P3
52.3%
49.6%
OT
46.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:38 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |