Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.4% vs Monahan 52.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 55.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 60.5%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 54.7%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Guentzel
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Guentzel
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Guentzel
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
51.5% (641)
-6.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
62.8% (129)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (9)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Guentzel is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Guentzel shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Monahan
Home
56.3% (16)
53.9% (362)
Away
44.4% (9)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Guentzel
Monahan
P1
20.0%
48.0%
P2
57.1%
57.0%
P3
80.0%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |