Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.9% vs Monahan 52.4% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 90.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 85.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Guentzel
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Guentzel
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
2
0
Guentzel
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (256)
52.4% (853)
-6.3%
Power Play
47.5% (122)
58.6% (174)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
46.5% (144)
-29.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Guentzel is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Guentzel shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Monahan
Home
49.3% (201)
53.4% (624)
Away
42.6% (183)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Guentzel
Monahan
P1
49.6%
53.7%
P2
45.6%
52.4%
P3
41.6%
51.6%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |