Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +28.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 45.5% vs Monahan 54.5% (-28.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 53.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 74.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Guentzel
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Guentzel
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
0
Guentzel
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Guentzel
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
27.3% (22)
57.1% (871)
-29.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
53.1% (262)
-53.1%
On power play, Monahan has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Guentzel is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Guentzel shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Monahan
Home
33.3% (9)
55.3% (644)
Away
21.4% (14)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Guentzel
Monahan
P1
27.3%
53.9%
P2
16.7%
55.3%
P3
40.0%
54.4%
OT
0.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
16.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
26.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |