Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 36.1% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 48.9% vs McCarron 52.5% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 88.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 77.5%
Neutral zone
Benn 51.0%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Benn
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Benn
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Benn
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (61)
53.1% (672)
-8.8%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
18.2% (11)
+40.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
53.7% (205)
-3.7%
On power play, Benn has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Benn is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Benn shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Benn
McCarron
Home
47.4% (38)
52.8% (477)
Away
47.6% (42)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Benn
McCarron
P1
32.0%
56.5%
P2
67.9%
53.2%
P3
40.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |