Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (60.1% vs 59.4%). Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs McCarron 54.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 84.1%
Defensive zone
McCarron 69.6%
Neutral zone
Benn 51.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Benn
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Benn
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
62.8% (86)
-1.0%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
50.0% (2)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
44.4% (18)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Benn
McCarron
Home
64.4% (433)
59.5% (42)
Away
55.8% (432)
59.4% (64)
By Period
Benn
McCarron
P1
61.8%
71.0%
P2
59.6%
48.7%
P3
59.2%
61.1%
Final 5 min
62.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |