Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.8%). Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs McCarron 52.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 89.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 78.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 55.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Benn
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Benn
McCarron
Last 10: Benn 6-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
7
3
Benn
McCarron
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
4
Benn
McCarron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
5
1
Benn
McCarron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
53.4% (2,901)
+0.1%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
45.3% (86)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
50.5% (463)
-1.2%
On power play, Benn has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Benn shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Benn
McCarron
Home
54.9% (4,547)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Benn
McCarron
P1
51.9%
53.9%
P2
52.6%
52.5%
P3
54.0%
52.0%
OT
62.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:33 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:04 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |