Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs McCarron 52.8% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 95.1%
Defensive zone
McCarron 51.5%
Neutral zone
Benn 81.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Benn
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Benn
McCarron
Last 10: Benn 8-2 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Benn
McCarron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
5
0
Benn
McCarron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
54.5% (618)
+8.1%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
42.1% (19)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
35.3% (34)
+22.8%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Benn shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Benn
McCarron
Home
60.5% (349)
52.2% (339)
Away
62.0% (363)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Benn
McCarron
P1
60.8%
53.5%
P2
60.1%
50.6%
P3
62.4%
55.9%
Final 5 min
62.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:33 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:04 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |