Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs McCarron 54.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 78.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 84.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 59.5%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Benn
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Benn
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Benn
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Benn
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
54.2% (756)
+1.7%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
55.6% (9)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
55.1% (158)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Benn is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Benn shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Benn
McCarron
Home
57.3% (267)
54.6% (445)
Away
54.6% (262)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Benn
McCarron
P1
54.3%
53.6%
P2
55.7%
55.6%
P3
58.1%
53.7%
Final 5 min
59.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |