Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 54.4%). Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs McCarron 53.4% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 76.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 63.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 50.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Benn
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Benn
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
57.5% (308)
-2.2%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
50.0% (2)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (55)
32.6% (43)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Benn is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Benn shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Benn
McCarron
Home
56.2% (443)
48.3% (147)
Away
54.2% (448)
58.7% (206)
By Period
Benn
McCarron
P1
55.4%
53.4%
P2
54.1%
59.5%
P3
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |