Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 36.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 48.9% vs Dowd 49.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 81.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Benn
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Benn
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (61)
51.7% (644)
-7.4%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
0.0% (2)
+58.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
41.6% (221)
+8.4%
On power play, Benn has a +58.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Benn is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Benn shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Benn
Dowd
Home
47.4% (38)
48.6% (451)
Away
47.6% (42)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Benn
Dowd
P1
32.0%
49.1%
P2
67.9%
47.3%
P3
40.7%
51.4%
Final 5 min
56.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |