Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs Dowd 53.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 81.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 82.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 64.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Benn
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Benn
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Benn
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Benn
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
55.4% (771)
-0.1%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
57.1% (7)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (55)
45.5% (165)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Benn is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Benn shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Benn
Dowd
Home
56.2% (443)
58.2% (462)
Away
54.2% (448)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Benn
Dowd
P1
55.4%
55.6%
P2
54.1%
50.5%
P3
55.6%
53.9%
OT
71.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |