Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Dowd 49.9% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 75.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 93.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 70.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 89.0%
11.0%
89.0%
Benn
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Benn
Dowd
Last 5: Benn 1-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Benn
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
52.2% (835)
+3.7%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
60.0% (10)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
44.0% (350)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Benn is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Benn shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Benn
Dowd
Home
57.3% (267)
51.5% (619)
Away
54.6% (262)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Benn
Dowd
P1
54.3%
51.7%
P2
55.7%
51.6%
P3
58.1%
47.0%
Final 5 min
59.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |