Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Dowd 48.3% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 86.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 92.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Benn
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Benn
Dowd
Last 8: Benn 4-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
0
Benn
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Benn
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
49.2% (778)
+13.4%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
58.3% (12)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
44.0% (234)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Benn shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Benn
Dowd
Home
60.5% (349)
46.3% (492)
Away
62.0% (363)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Benn
Dowd
P1
60.8%
49.1%
P2
60.1%
48.2%
P3
62.4%
46.9%
OT
83.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
62.4%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | OT | 01:54 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |