Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Dowd 50.7% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 95.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 63.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Benn
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Benn
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Benn
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
55.2% (625)
+6.6%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
57.1% (7)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
38.2% (220)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Benn
Dowd
Home
64.4% (433)
53.7% (445)
Away
55.8% (432)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Benn
Dowd
P1
61.8%
48.8%
P2
59.6%
49.3%
P3
59.2%
54.0%
OT
55.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
62.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
60.1%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:08 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |