Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Dowd 50.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 84.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 70.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Benn
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Benn
Dowd
Last 10: Benn 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
9
1
Benn
Dowd
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
13
Benn
Dowd
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
52.4% (6,009)
+1.1%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
56.1% (164)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
44.1% (1,635)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Benn shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Benn
Dowd
Home
54.9% (4,547)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Benn
Dowd
P1
51.9%
51.7%
P2
52.6%
50.4%
P3
54.0%
50.3%
OT
62.4%
45.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 27, 2024 | OT | 01:54 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:08 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |