Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.6% vs O'Reilly 52.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 75.6%
Defensive zone
Benn 53.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 63.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Benn
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Benn
O'Reilly
Last 6: Benn 2-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Benn
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Benn
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
53.6% (392)
-5.8%
Power Play
39.8% (133)
47.2% (36)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
50.0% (28)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Benn is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Benn shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Benn
O'Reilly
Home
51.4% (317)
54.4% (237)
Away
41.8% (392)
51.1% (219)
By Period
Benn
O'Reilly
P1
42.7%
50.3%
P2
45.4%
51.4%
P3
50.4%
55.7%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
47.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 06:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 16:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |