Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 64.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 73.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 72.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Benn
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Benn
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Benn
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
56.1% (690)
+5.7%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
64.6% (96)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
45.9% (109)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Benn shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Benn
O'Reilly
Home
64.4% (433)
58.3% (408)
Away
55.8% (432)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Benn
O'Reilly
P1
61.8%
57.7%
P2
59.6%
54.8%
P3
59.2%
55.2%
OT
55.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
62.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |