Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 55.7%). Benn wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 54.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 61.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Benn
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Benn
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Benn
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
56.2% (983)
-0.3%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
55.5% (254)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
52.0% (102)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Benn shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Benn
O'Reilly
Home
57.3% (267)
56.2% (697)
Away
54.6% (262)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Benn
O'Reilly
P1
54.3%
54.5%
P2
55.7%
55.5%
P3
58.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |