Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 55 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 71-61 in 132 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 75.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 56.5%
Neutral zone
Benn 62.8%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Benn
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
61
-
71
(132 meetings)
61
71
Benn
O'Reilly
Last 10: Benn 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
32
16
Benn
O'Reilly
48 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
16
39
Benn
O'Reilly
55 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
13
16
Benn
O'Reilly
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
56.2% (15,260)
-2.7%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
58.8% (3,445)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
51.4% (2,811)
-2.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Benn
O'Reilly
Home
54.9% (4,547)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Benn
O'Reilly
P1
51.9%
55.6%
P2
52.6%
57.0%
P3
54.0%
55.1%
OT
62.4%
62.2%
Final 5 min
53.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:11 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |