Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Benn wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 69.8%
Defensive zone
Benn 55.6%
Neutral zone
Benn 57.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Benn
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Benn
O'Reilly
Last 10: Benn 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
5
Benn
O'Reilly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
8
Benn
O'Reilly
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
3
2
Benn
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
56.6% (1,064)
-1.3%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
60.4% (260)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (55)
54.0% (261)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Benn shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Benn
O'Reilly
Home
56.2% (443)
54.9% (801)
Away
54.2% (448)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Benn
O'Reilly
P1
55.4%
58.0%
P2
54.1%
56.7%
P3
55.6%
55.4%
OT
71.4%
64.7%
Final 5 min
58.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |