Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 51.2% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 82.3%
Defensive zone
Benn 59.7%
Neutral zone
Benn 72.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Benn
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Benn
O'Reilly
Last 5: Benn 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Benn
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Benn
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (233)
57.9% (1,179)
-5.1%
Power Play
53.8% (130)
63.0% (292)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (49)
53.8% (320)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Benn is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Benn shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
Home / Away
Benn
O'Reilly
Home
52.4% (212)
61.3% (884)
Away
50.5% (200)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Benn
O'Reilly
P1
55.8%
55.5%
P2
45.0%
61.0%
P3
53.4%
56.8%
OT
50.0%
67.7%
Final 5 min
49.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |