Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 64.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Novak 45.6% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 79.4%
Defensive zone
Benn 66.5%
Neutral zone
Benn 70.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Benn
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Benn
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
43.8% (384)
+18.0%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
58.8% (17)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
100.0% (1)
-43.9%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Benn shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Benn
Novak
Home
64.4% (433)
46.5% (202)
Away
55.8% (432)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Benn
Novak
P1
61.8%
49.2%
P2
59.6%
44.2%
P3
59.2%
40.0%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
62.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |