Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Novak 45.0% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 55.6%
Defensive zone
Novak 52.6%
Neutral zone
Novak 54.5%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Benn
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Benn
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Benn
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
42.9% (198)
+13.0%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
40.9% (22)
+15.9%
On power play, Benn has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Benn shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Benn
Novak
Home
57.3% (267)
40.9% (110)
Away
54.6% (262)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Benn
Novak
P1
54.3%
39.1%
P2
55.7%
43.9%
P3
58.1%
44.9%
Final 5 min
59.7%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |