Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 48.9% vs Novak 43.4% (+5.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 59.5%
Defensive zone
Novak 56.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 58.4%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Benn
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (61)
41.4% (379)
+2.9%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
46.9% (32)
+11.9%
On power play, Benn has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Benn is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Benn shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Benn
Novak
Home
47.4% (38)
42.6% (195)
Away
47.6% (42)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Benn
Novak
P1
32.0%
42.4%
P2
67.9%
39.2%
P3
40.7%
44.7%
Final 5 min
56.3%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%