Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 67.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Novak 43.5% (+19.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 88.2%
Defensive zone
Benn 88.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 88.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Benn
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Benn
Novak
Last 5: Benn 4-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Benn
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Novak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
40.7% (460)
+21.9%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
61.5% (39)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
0.0% (1)
+58.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +58.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Benn is 67.2% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Benn shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Benn
Novak
Home
60.5% (349)
47.0% (236)
Away
62.0% (363)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Benn
Novak
P1
60.8%
43.1%
P2
60.1%
43.1%
P3
62.4%
40.1%
Final 5 min
62.4%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |