Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.6% vs McCann 46.9% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 85.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 91.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 81.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Nelson
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Nelson
McCann
Last 8: Nelson 7-1 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
McCann
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
0
Nelson
McCann
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (902)
46.5% (477)
+4.2%
Power Play
59.8% (169)
46.3% (41)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (116)
46.2% (52)
+2.1%
On power play, Nelson has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Nelson shoots left. McCann is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Nelson
McCann
Home
53.6% (603)
46.3% (296)
Away
49.9% (585)
46.5% (275)
By Period
Nelson
McCann
P1
55.4%
49.4%
P2
47.2%
44.5%
P3
52.6%
46.0%
OT
51.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |