Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.9% vs Duchene 55.3% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 93.3%
Defensive zone
Duchene 71.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 90.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
McCann
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McCann
Duchene
Last 6: McCann 5-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
4
0
McCann
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (477)
56.0% (579)
-9.5%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
59.3% (108)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
25.0% (8)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. McCann is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (379).
McCann shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
McCann
Duchene
Home
46.3% (296)
54.9% (375)
Away
46.5% (275)
57.5% (320)
By Period
McCann
Duchene
P1
49.4%
58.3%
P2
44.5%
56.7%
P3
46.0%
53.1%
OT
42.9%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
46.4%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Jared McCann |