Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 48.4% vs Duchene 55.6% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 63.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 61.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 70.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
McCann
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McCann
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (260)
56.5% (566)
-7.7%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
61.3% (62)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
22.2% (9)
+27.8%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. McCann is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (196).
McCann shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
McCann
Duchene
Home
51.0% (143)
56.6% (318)
Away
45.1% (164)
56.4% (319)
By Period
McCann
Duchene
P1
53.6%
57.2%
P2
52.0%
55.1%
P3
37.6%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jared McCann |