Jared McCann vs Matt Duchene

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Matt Duchene holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCann 50.0% vs Duchene 51.6% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone McCann 53.4%
Defensive zone Duchene 68.0%
Neutral zone Duchene 50.8%
Result Matt Duchene favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
McCann Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
McCann
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (18)
51.2% (324)
-6.8%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
60.4% (53)
+39.6%
On power play, McCann has a +39.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Duchene shoots left. McCann is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (13).
McCann shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
McCann
Duchene
Home
53.8% (13)
51.6% (182)
Away
42.9% (7)
52.2% (201)
By Period
McCann
Duchene
P1
50.0%
49.6%
P2
33.3%
56.2%
P3
75.0%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%
45.0%
50.0%
Duchene
44.0%
52.0%
52.0%