Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Duchene 52.8% (-8.6%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 66.0%
Defensive zone
McCann 69.7%
Neutral zone
McCann 55.0%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
McCann
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
46.9% (162)
-0.9%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
73.2% (56)
-33.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
100.0% (2)
-37.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. McCann is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (305).
McCann shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
McCann
Duchene
Home
45.1% (244)
58.4% (125)
Away
46.0% (248)
48.4% (95)
By Period
McCann
Duchene
P1
42.5%
56.9%
P2
45.9%
52.5%
P3
47.8%
51.9%
OT
40.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%