Jared McCann vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). McCann wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 65.7%
Defensive zone
McCann 66.8%
Neutral zone
McCann 66.6%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
McCann
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
McCann
MacKinnon
Last 10: McCann 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
6
McCann
MacKinnon
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
McCann
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
4
McCann
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
46.1% (11,218)
-3.0%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
53.3% (1,412)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
42.8% (502)
-0.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
McCann shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
McCann
MacKinnon
Home
43.1% (1,758)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
McCann
MacKinnon
P1
44.4%
47.4%
P2
41.7%
46.6%
P3
42.7%
46.1%
OT
36.4%
48.4%
Final 5 min
41.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |