Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 27.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 42.7% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 65.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 75.7%
Neutral zone
McCann 58.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
McCann
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McCann
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
McCann
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (40)
44.7% (1,053)
-7.2%
Power Play
29.7% (37)
36.8% (95)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
65.0% (20)
-65.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +65.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McCann is 27.3% vs right-shot opponents (33).
McCann shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
McCann
MacKinnon
Home
34.0% (47)
49.4% (553)
Away
32.3% (31)
40.0% (615)
By Period
McCann
MacKinnon
P1
38.1%
45.3%
P2
30.0%
42.7%
P3
30.8%
45.1%
OT
100.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
37.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
33.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |