Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.2% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.9%
Defensive zone
McCann 57.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
McCann
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (188)
49.2% (1,266)
-0.8%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
54.9% (193)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
49.1% (55)
-17.4%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McCann is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (76).
McCann shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
McCann
MacKinnon
Home
52.8% (125)
50.9% (740)
Away
36.1% (119)
49.0% (774)
By Period
McCann
MacKinnon
P1
37.7%
50.9%
P2
50.5%
51.8%
P3
45.2%
47.1%
OT
0.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
43.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%