Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 50.0% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 60.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
McCann
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (18)
50.0% (992)
-5.6%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
64.9% (148)
+35.1%
On power play, McCann has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McCann is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (7).
McCann shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
McCann
MacKinnon
Home
53.8% (13)
53.3% (591)
Away
42.9% (7)
49.6% (581)
By Period
McCann
MacKinnon
P1
50.0%
49.9%
P2
33.3%
53.2%
P3
75.0%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
50.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%