Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 48.4% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 50.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 54.2%
Neutral zone
McCann 51.2%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
McCann
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McCann
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (260)
45.5% (1,190)
+3.3%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
56.4% (94)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
40.0% (30)
+10.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McCann is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
McCann shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
McCann
MacKinnon
Home
51.0% (143)
47.8% (670)
Away
45.1% (164)
44.6% (644)
By Period
McCann
MacKinnon
P1
53.6%
45.3%
P2
52.0%
48.5%
P3
37.6%
45.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Jared McCann |