Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Novak 43.5% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 69.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 89.5%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 73.9%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Dickinson
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dickinson
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
40.7% (460)
+10.5%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
61.5% (39)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
0.0% (1)
+42.9%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Dickinson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Dickinson shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Novak
Home
52.9% (664)
47.0% (236)
Away
46.7% (572)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Dickinson
Novak
P1
49.0%
43.1%
P2
48.3%
43.1%
P3
52.5%
40.1%
Final 5 min
56.7%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |