Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Novak 45.0% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 82.4%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 81.9%
Neutral zone
Novak 57.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Dickinson
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dickinson
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Dickinson
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
42.9% (198)
+8.6%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
40.9% (22)
+13.6%
On power play, Dickinson has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Dickinson shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Novak
Home
53.6% (489)
40.9% (110)
Away
44.7% (427)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Dickinson
Novak
P1
47.7%
39.1%
P2
52.1%
43.9%
P3
47.8%
44.9%
OT
83.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |