Dylan Larkin vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau

Dylan LarkinL vs Jean-Gabriel PageauR
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
2025-262024-252023-242022-232021-22 All Seasons
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings). Larkin wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.3% vs Pageau 53.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor Pageau leads 22-6 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone Larkin 76.7%
Defensive zone Pageau 59.0%
Neutral zone Larkin 58.8%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Larkin Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 22 (28 meetings)
6
22
Larkin Pageau
Last 10: Larkin 2-8 Pageau

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
5
Larkin Pageau
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
14
Larkin Pageau
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin Pageau
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
53.5% (826)
-2.5%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
59.2% (120)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
50.2% (203)
-0.6%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Larkin is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Larkin shoots left. Pageau is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Larkin
Pageau
Home
54.9% (721)
55.7% (618)
Away
49.6% (641)
51.0% (531)
By Period
Larkin
Pageau
P1
52.4%
52.5%
P2
50.8%
56.1%
P3
54.4%
50.8%
OT
43.8%
61.3%
Final 5 min
57.8%
51.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 10, 2020 OT 00:00 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Jan 10, 2020 3 18:35 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 10, 2020 3 03:55 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 10, 2020 2 10:42 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 10, 2020 2 04:59 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 10, 2020 2 04:43 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 10, 2020 2 00:14 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 10, 2020 1 04:22 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 19, 2019 3 01:28 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 19, 2019 2 17:53 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 19, 2019 2 16:55 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 19, 2019 2 13:01 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 19, 2019 2 12:14 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 19, 2019 2 05:20 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Oct 23, 2019 3 17:10 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Oct 23, 2019 3 13:36 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Oct 23, 2019 3 10:36 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Oct 23, 2019 2 18:52 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Oct 23, 2019 2 14:42 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Oct 23, 2019 2 14:14 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Larkin's Profile | Pageau's Profile