Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Kevin Hayes
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 52.0% vs Hayes 38.9% (+16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 73.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 76.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 60.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Pageau
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pageau
Hayes
Last 6: Pageau 3-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Pageau
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
2
Pageau
Hayes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (882)
35.4% (362)
+18.7%
Power Play
45.0% (60)
52.9% (17)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (235)
0.0% (2)
+46.8%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pageau is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Pageau shoots right. Hayes is 33.1% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hayes
Home
54.7% (592)
36.8% (212)
Away
49.6% (585)
34.9% (169)
By Period
Pageau
Hayes
P1
51.0%
40.3%
P2
54.3%
31.1%
P3
51.8%
34.2%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 11:49 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |