Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Kevin Hayes
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Hayes 51.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 66.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 81.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 74.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Pageau
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Pageau
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
51.6% (386)
+8.0%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
53.2% (47)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
60.0% (20)
-3.6%
On power play, Pageau has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hayes
Home
59.3% (506)
50.5% (200)
Away
60.0% (482)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Pageau
Hayes
P1
56.8%
58.8%
P2
64.4%
49.3%
P3
56.9%
48.0%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
61.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |