Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Kevin Hayes
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Hayes 56.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 59.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 67.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 53.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Pageau
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Pageau
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
56.6% (724)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
57.0% (79)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
65.7% (35)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hayes
Home
57.0% (618)
58.0% (405)
Away
53.9% (607)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Pageau
Hayes
P1
54.4%
54.7%
P2
61.0%
55.7%
P3
51.0%
60.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |