Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Kevin Hayes
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Hayes 43.8% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 87.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 95.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 93.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Pageau
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Pageau
Hayes
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
42.7% (478)
+13.1%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
42.9% (98)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
45.2% (31)
+6.0%
On power play, Pageau has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hayes
Home
57.1% (674)
43.5% (232)
Away
53.5% (678)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Pageau
Hayes
P1
56.9%
40.1%
P2
54.5%
44.8%
P3
54.7%
42.4%
OT
52.9%
80.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |